Arnell, N. and Charlton, M./University of Southampton | 2009 | | This paper examines potential barriers for water companies in adapting to decreases in water supply reliability. Page 2 discusses barriers to adaptation. The rest of the document examines the specific barriers to adaptation faced by water companies in the Medway catchment. Pages 4-5 forecast changes in runoff for the Medway catchment. | Adaptation, Case Studies and Best Management Practices, Regional and Local Information | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Arnell, N./University of Southampton | 1998 | | This paper, which reviews simulations of changes in river flow, groundwater recharge, and water quality, provides analysis of projected changes in water quality and supply throughout the UK. The author also proposes corresponding adaptation options. (Abstract only) | Adaptation, Downscaled Models, Regional and Local Information, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Beller-Simms, N., Ingram, H., Feldman, D., Mantua, N., Jacobs, K.L., Waple, A.M./U.S. Climate Change Science Program | 2008 | | This report focuses on incorporating scientific predictions of seasonal climate into water resource management decisions. The report recommends improvements to forecast models, expansion of seasonal interannual forecasts to different spatial and temporal scales, and the development of comprehensive multidisciplinary tools. The report concludes that forecasts must be useful across a wide range of applications and that scientists must collaborate closely with decision makers. Section 2 addresses climate data and forecast products. | Decision Making, Risk Management, Technical Assistance, and Tools | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | Not Applicable |
Black, A.R./University of Dundee and Burns, J.C./Scottish Environmental Protection Agency | 2002 | | This paper analyzes flood records and flood-risk estimation to analyze trends in past flood data. The authors find that periods of extreme flooding increased significantly during the 1980s and 1990s in western catchments. (Abstract only) | Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Chung, F., Anderson, J., Arora, S., Ejeta, M., Galef, J., Kadir, T., Kao, K., Olson, A., Quan, C., Reyes, E., Roos, M., Seneviratne, S., Wang, J., Yin, H., Blomquist, N./California Climate Change Center | 2009 | | This report on water resources decision making in California provides information on climate models and forecasted impacts. Section 4 provides information on using climate model projections to forecast information on water resources, including estimation of streamflows to use in impact assessments. Section 5 presents an impact analysis for two river basins in California. | Case Studies and Best Management Practices, Decision Making, Risk Management, Technical Assistance, and Tools, Downscaled Models, Regional and Local Information, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | California | West and Southwest | United States |
D'Antonio, J.R./New Mexico Office of the State Engineer and Interstate Stream Commission | 2006 | | Chapter II of this report provides information on how climate change will affect water supply and water quality in New Mexico and the Southwest. Chapter IV provides adaptation measures for sustainable use of current water supplies. Pages 35-36 address climate forecasting in water resource management. | Adaptation, Infrastructure Implications, Regional and Local Information, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | New Mexico | West and Southwest | United States |
Environment Agency | 2009 | | This report describes the potential for future flooding in England and provides evidence to support a new regime of infrastructure investment and management. Chapter 3 forecasts five future investment scenarios for flood control infrastructure. | Infrastructure Implications, Flood Risk Management, Regional and Local Information, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
European Commission | 2009 | | This report was written to provide guidance and support for river basin managers seeking to address climate change into their operations. The report addresses a number of potential management challenges resulting from climate change and provides a framework for identifying and implementing corresponding adaptation techniques. Chapter 3 (p. 21) highlights climate change models that can be useful in planning. Chapter 4 provides a framework for building adaptive capacity. Chapter 5 addresses risk based management. Chapter 6 details flood risk management and adaptation. Chapter 7 addresses drought management, water scarcity, and adaptation techniques. | Adaptation, Case Studies and Best Management Practices, Decision Making, Risk Management, Technical Assistance, and Tools, Downscaled Models, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Fowler, H., Blenkinsop, S./Newcastle University and Tebaldi, C./National Center for Atmospheric Research | 2007 | | This paper presents the results of a literature review on climate models and downscaling techniques. Pages 1557-1560 address methods for downscaling climate change models that are effective for evaluating future impacts on hydrology. | Decision Making, Risk Management, Technical Assistance, and Tools, Downscaled Models | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Garbrecht, J.D., Piechota, T.C./Environmental and Water Resources Institute, American Society of Civil Engineers | 2006 | | This book provides background information on climate change, impacts to water resources, and adaptation options. It also provides a number of case studies that address management decisions. Pages 11-16 provide "case applications" addressing forecasting in water resource management. | Case Studies and Best Management Practices, Decision Making, Risk Management, Technical Assistance, and Tools, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Colorado, Florida, Texas | Southeast, West and Southwest | United States |
Harrison, J., Winterbottom, S., Johnson, R./Scottish Executive Central Research Unit | 2001 | | The objective of this report is to examine how snowfall patterns may change in Scotland under different emissions scenarios and corresponding climate change. Pages 20-31 forecast changes in snowpack throughout Scotland. | Adaptation, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Haylock, M.R., Cawley, G.C., Harpham, C., Wilby, R.L. and Goodess, C.M | 2006 | | This article compares statistical and dynamical downscaling models for their effectiveness in downscaling heavy precipitation indices. Downscaling is applied to two meteorological stations in northwest and southeast England. (Abstract only) | Downscaled Models, Regional and Local Information | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Holman, I.P./Cranfield University, Nicholls, R.J./University of Southampton, Berry, P.M./University of Oxford, Harrison, P.A./Silsoe Research Institute, Audsley, E./Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Shackley, S./Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research and
Rounsevell, M.D.A./Université catholique de Louvain | 2005 | | This paper relies on climate change models to develop forecasts for the East Anglia and Northwest regions of England. Section 3.1.3 (page 11) provides a forecast of climate change impacts on water resources. | Adaptation, Downscaled Models, Regional and Local Information, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Kingston, D.G., Todd, M.C., Taylor, R.G., Thompson, J.R./University College London and Arnell, N.W./University of Reading | 2009 | | This article examines different methods for estimating potential evapotranspiration and describes how these methods impact climate change projections. (Abstract only) | Downscaled Models | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Lopez, A., Fung, F., New, M., Watts, G., Weston, A. and Wilby, R.L./Oxford University | 2009 | | This article describes a methodology for performing a top-down examination of climate change impacts using large ensembles of climate change data. The model simulates river flows and provides a case study of a water resource system in the South West of England. (Abstract only) | Case Studies and Best Management Practices, Downscaled Models | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Ludwig, F., Kabat, P., van Schaik, H., van der Valk, M. | 2009 | | Chapters 5, 6, and 7 of this book address adaptation and changes in water resource management in the context of climate change. Pages 63-66 address forecasting floods and droughts. | Case Studies and Best Management Practices, Infrastructure Implications, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | International |
New, M./Oxford University, Dessai, S./University of East Anglia Norwich, Lopez, A./Oxford University and Wilby, R.L./Environment Agency | 2007 | | This paper examines probalistic climate information that can be used to develop an uncertainty analysis in impacts modelling and assessment. This information is then applied to water resources in the Thames River. Section 3 (c) presents implications for water resource planning, including changes in water supply availability. | Downscaled Models, Regional and Local Information, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Prudhomme, C./Centre for Ecology and Hydrology and Electricit de France, Jakob, D. and Svensson, C./Centre for Ecology and Hydrology | 2003 | | This paper develops a methodology for analyzing uncertainty in climate change impact studies and applies it to five catchments in Great Britain. The authors also use a flow series model to simulate past and future hydrological scenarios and generate forecasts for future flood regimes. (Abstract only). | Decision Making, Risk Management, Technical Assistance, and Tools, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Prudhomme, C./Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wilby, R.L./Loughborough University, Crooks, S./Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, et al | 2010 | | This article provides an approach for undertaking climate impact studies and applies this analysis to fluvial flood risk in the UK. (Abstract only). | Decision Making, Risk Management, Technical Assistance, and Tools, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Steinemann, A.C./Climate Impacts Groups - University of Washington | 2006 | | This article reports on the use of a forecast precipitation index (FPI). FPI can be used to inform water resource managers about drought. The authors interviewed water resource managers from the Southeastern United States to determine information that would be most relevant for water management by asking questions focused on the seasonal outlook predictions from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center. | Decision Making, Risk Management, Technical Assistance, and Tools, Downscaled Models, Economic Tools | Not Applicable | Southeast | United States |
Vano, J.A., Scott, M., Voisin, N., Stöckle, C., Hamlet, A.F., Mickelson, K.E.B., Elsner, M.M., Lettenmaier, D.P./Climate Impacts Groups - University of Washington | 2009 | | This report presents a series of models that project changes in reservoir levels and changes in snow pack. Section 4 provides water supply projections relevant to resource managers within the Yakima River Basin. The authors use a reservoir model to forecast changes in hydrological conditions throughout the water basin (pp.139-152). | Downscaled Models, Regional and Local Information, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Washington | Northwest | United States |
Vano, J.A., Voisin, N., Cuo, L., Hamlet, A.F., McGuire Elsner, M., Palmer, R.B., Polebistski, A., Lettenmaier, D.P./Climate Impacts Groups - University of Washington | 2009 | | This report conducts stream flow simulations to assess water supplies for Everett and Tacoma, WA. Pages 114-128 forecast hydrological changes in this water basin. | Downscaled Models, Regional and Local Information, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Washington | Northwest | United States |
Vidal, J.P. and Wade, S./HR Wallingford | 2009 | | This paper forecasts future rainfall and drought conditions throughout the UK. Six GCM models, calculated using two emissions scenarios, are used to provide drought projections across 183 hydrologic areas. Results show an increase in the frequency of short-term extreme drought conditions. However, the model forecasts a decrease in long-term drought conditions in Scotland. (Abstract only) | Downscaled Models, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Vidal, J.P. and Wade, S./HR Wallingford | 2008 | | This paper provides a framework for building climate projections from an ensemble of GCMs at a small enough scale to inform impact analysis. This framework is then applied to the UK. Section 3 describes the framework and its value in forecasting climate change. | Downscaled Models, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Vidal, J.P. and Wade, S.D./HR Wallingford | 2008 | | This paper examines uncertainty when using GCMs to generate catchment-style precipitation scenarios. The authors use two emissions scenarios, six global climate models, and four downscaling techniques to make climate change projections for two catchments in the UK. This technique generally forecasts an increase in the extremes of the hydrological cycle. (Abstract only). | Downscaled Models, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |
Werritty, A./University of Dundee | 2002 | | This paper, developed for water resource managers, analyzes trends in precipitation and runoff from past models. The paper also presents the results of downscaled models. The results are quantified and used to inform recommendations for water resource managers throughout Scotland. (Abstract only) | Adaptation, Downscaled Models, Regional and Local Information, Water Quality Implications, Water Supply Implications and Demand Management | Not Applicable | Not Applicable | United Kingdom |